Good morning, tradersâŚ
Let’s say you bought an option this week that expires next Friday, July 18.
The underlying stock hasn’t moved much yet.
Now you have a critical decision to make.
Do you hold it until Monday and take the weekend risk?
Or close it now and take the stress off the table?
If youâve traded weekly options, youâve asked yourself this question. And youâve probably faced this unfortunate scenario:
The stock hardly budged, yet your position lost a huge chunk of its value by Mondayâs open.
But time decay doesnât take weekends off, even if you doâŚ
When you hold short-dated contracts over the weekend, youâre exposing yourself to hidden risks that can wipe out your position before you can even say âtheta.â
Letâs Stop Time Decay From Ruining Your TradesâŚ
There are three big risks to holding short-dated options over the weekendâŚ
Accelerated Time Decay
Theta (time decay) ramps up dramatically over the weekend. Even though the market is closed, time decay continues to erode your optionâs extrinsic value.
- Friday to Monday = 3 days of decay priced as 1
Theta doesnât just tick away one day at a time. It compounds. Since the market canât price in decay on Saturday and Sunday, Mondayâs open often reflects a much larger drop in extrinsic value than any day before it.
- Short-dated options suffer the most
The closer you are to expiration, the faster theta accelerates. By holding over the weekend, youâre essentially giving up three days of premium in one shot.
Weekend News Risk
Some of the biggest market-moving events happen when the market is closed.
This has been especially true during the second Trump administration.
Just look at how many massive market-moving events have happened over the weekend in the first half of 2025:
April 2â3: âLiberation Dayâ Tariffs
- Weekend: April 2, 2025 (Saturday)
- Event: U.S. announces sweeping tariffs on nearly all imports.
- Monday Impact: S&PâŻ500 gapped down 4.84% on Monday, April 3 in its worst single-day loss since March 2020. Over $3 trillion wiped from global equities.
April 12â13: Tech Tariff Relief
- Weekend: April 12â13, 2025
- Event: Tariff exemptions granted to U.S. tech products.
- Monday Impact: S&PâŻ500 gapped up 0.8% on Monday, April 14, gaining 42.61 points on tariff exemption news.
May 9â11: Trade Talk Tensions
- Weekend: May 10â11, 2025
- Event: Positive signals emerged from U.S.âChina trade talks over the weekend.
- Monday Impact: S&PâŻ500 gapped up 1.88%, marking its highest level since early March.Â
July 5â6: New Tariff Threats
- Weekend: July 5â6, 2025 (Last Weekend)
- Event: Trump floats steep new Asia tariffs via social media, sparking renewed trade war fears.
- Monday Impact: S&PâŻ500 gapped down 0.8% on Monday, with exporters and tech hit hardest.
Plus, thereâs always the possibility of:
- Unexpected company news: Merger and buyout rumors, CEO statements, unannounced press releases, or sudden FDA decisions for biotech names.
- President Trumpâs weekend posts: Trade threats, tariff declarations, or foreign policy comments (any one of which can flip market sentiment by Monday).
- Geopolitical shocks: Surprise military moves (like the June IsraelâIran escalation), cyberattacks, etc.
- Policy surprises: Emergency Fed statements, rate leaks, or Treasury yield-control rumors floated in the press.
If any of these go against your trade, youâre completely powerless until Monday.
By then, the damage is already done. Even a small morning gap against your position can obliterate your optionâs value.
When Is It Okay to Hold Weeklies Over the Weekend?
I donât want you to think you should never hold weekly options over the weekend.
But you need to be extremely selective:
- High-probability setups only (e.g., huge Smart Money bets coming in on Friday could signal weekend strength).
- Trades with a clear catalyst (if youâre holding through the weekend, there better be a good reason for doing so).Â
- Defined-risk trades (where your max loss is controlled).
When You Shouldnât Hold Options Over The Weekend:
- Far out-of-the-money speculative lotto tickets.
- Low-delta contracts.
- High-IV contracts.
The market gives you a free pass to reset risk every Friday. Use it.
If you wouldnât hold a trade through a major news event during the week, donât hold it over the weekend.
Happy trading,
Ben Sturgill
P.S. Donât waste your weekendâŚ
Join the great Danny Phee TOMORROW, July 12 at 4:00 p.m. EST for a LIVE OMEN WORKSHOP.
Space is limited â Click here to sign up before itâs too late.
*Past performance does not indicate future results