Happy June, traders…

Welcome to Summer 2025. 

Whether you’re soaking up some sunshine or dodging the chaos of kids at home full-time, I hope the season’s starting strong for you.

In the Sturgill household, it’s officially basketball camp season. 

My son started his first one this week, and let’s just say the calendar is about to get dominated by sneakers, whistles, and gym bags. 

Between camps, national tournaments, and a family vacation … June is shaping up to be my busiest travel month of the year. Come July, things should settle down again. 

But while the weather is just starting to warm up, the geopolitical temperature is reaching new highs in the market.

In Asia, a story is forming that could change the course of the tech sector for the foreseeable future. 

Meanwhile, several Smart Money charts are starting to develop beautifully…

Let me show you what stories I’m tracking closely, which charts I’m watching, and the major events on the calendar this week…

China-Taiwan Tensions Reach a Boiling Point

Over the weekend, U.S. Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth delivered a serious message during a major security conference in Singapore: China isn’t just posturing—it’s preparing for a conflict with Taiwan. 

China has been running repeated military drills, essentially dry runs for a potential blockade of Taiwan. Beijing continues to claim the island as its territory, despite its self-governing status and U.S. commitments to help defend it. 

Hegseth didn’t dance around the issue. He warned that China’s actions are no longer just messaging, but rather are part of a serious, accelerating military posture that could trigger real conflict sooner than many expect.

This is the kind of headline that can ripple through markets. Not just from a defense standpoint, but from a global supply chain and macroeconomic perspective. 

Why is this so important?

Because Taiwan is a linchpin in tech and semiconductors. The vast majority of chipmaking occurs in Taiwan. 

And if tensions escalate further, it could change the tone of the tech sector for the entire second half of the year.

Don’t shrug this story off. 

This Week’s Crucial Economic Data

It’s a packed schedule:

• Monday: Final U.S. Manufacturing PMI, ISM Manufacturing at 10 AM ET, Construction Spending, plus Fed speakers including President Loretta Mester and Jerome Powell.
  
• Tuesday–Thursday: JOLTS, ADP Employment, ISM Services, Jobless Claims, and the full Non-Farm Payrolls report.

That’s enough news to move markets in any direction. Powell’s speeches always have the potential to shake things up. 

As we head into this week, I want you to remember that the Fed has a “dual mandate” — to keep unemployment and inflation low. 

If the labor data comes in strong and inflation remains stable or stagnant, that could provide Powell with cover to consider rate cuts, which would boost liquidity in the market. 

And liquidity drives everything.

6 Stocks on My Radar This Week

Here are six setups I’m watching this week, all with great structure and heavy Smart Money flow…

1. Humana Inc. (NYSE: HUM)

Big volume came in Friday on the June 6th $275 calls. Price is still hanging around the $230 area, so this looks like a speculative upside bet. 

But the structure is clean: higher lows, tightening range, and the potential to reclaim control around $260.

HUM has a history of explosive moves when volume comes in. It ran from $212 to $255 not long ago in just a few sessions. 

That kind of range tells me it can do it again. I’m setting an alert above $235. If it breaks, I want to see momentum follow through quickly.

2. UnitedHealth Group Inc. (NYSE: UNH)

Another healthcare name with serious call flow. The June 20th $350 calls lit up Friday with above-ask sweeps. The stock’s trading near $307, so that’s a big bet for a big bounce.

UNH sold off hard recently, but it’s back to its point of control and looking like it wants to base. 

If this one reclaims $307.50 with strength, that could be the start of a slow grind higher. 

This kind of large-cap name with institutional buying pressure can surprise people with how quickly it climbs.

3. Oracle Corp. (NYSE: ORCL)

This is a beautiful setup…

You’ve got a run, a pullback, a bounce off the 21-day exponential moving average (EMA), and Smart Money buying the June 20th $177.50 calls. 

This is how strong tech names behave in healthy trends.

If it pulls back to $163, I’ll consider it a gift. Otherwise, I’m looking for a breakout over $166. 

The structure looks great, and the earnings run-up could offer some tailwinds.

4. Celsius Holdings Inc. (NASDAQ: CELH)

This is a clean, textbook setup with massive call buying behind it. 

The June 20th $40 calls have been hammered with relentless volume. Somebody really wanted in, and they didn’t care about price.

Technically, CELH is building a tight consolidation zone just under $38.50. If it clears that with volume, that’s your trigger. 

It’s a “three times a lady” setup: up, rest, up, rest, up. 

Now, we’re just waiting on that final push.

5. Robinhood Markets Inc. (NASDAQ: HOOD)

HOOD is super strong, making new highs as it coils tightly on solid volume.

Over $66 and I like the July 3rd $70 calls. They’re liquid, they’ve got time, and the chart structure gives this thing room to run.

I’d give it a little room for a stop-loss, maybe around $61. 

But if the breakout sticks, there’s very little overhead resistance between here and the mid-$70s. 

6. Palantir Technologies Inc. (NYSE: PLTR)

This is a similar chart to HOOD, with both momentum stocks inching above previous highs. 

Friday’s tape was full of calls, particularly the June 6th $135 strike. It’s trading in the low $130s, but this one could pop with the right move.

I’d love a pullback to $129, but I’m watching for a breakout over $131.75. 

If it gets above that level and holds, those short-dated calls could get aggressive fast. There’s tons of interest on this name, as it’s a go-to for retail and institutions alike when momentum is alive.

That’s it for today, I’ve gotta get back to my trades…

Read the news. Pick your spots. Watch your size. 

And remember: if the trade isn’t doing anything wrong, stay long. 

Happy trading,
Ben Sturgill

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