Smart Money Brief

🌍 A “Rare” Setup in Rare-Earth Minerals 🪨

Good morning, traders…

It’s “rare” to see a stock surge 250% in six weeks and still find a clean entry. 

But that’s exactly what just landed on my screen. 

I’m talking about an under-the-radar name with massive backing. 

One of the biggest tech companies on the planet just dropped half a billion into it. 

Then the Pentagon followed suit, locking in a $400 million deal. 

This company sits at the center of a critical supply chain that the U.S. government is scrambling to secure. 

And yet … hardly anyone is trading the options.

Now, it’s pulling back to a key support level, giving you the perfect opportunity to enter. 

There’s no crowd. No IV spike. No premium bloat. Just a strong name catching its breath with a defined-risk setup staring us straight in the face.

Let Me Show You How To Trade This “Rare” Setup Before The Rest Of The Market Catches On…

What is MP?

MP Materials Corp. (NYSE: MP) is a leading U.S.-based rare‑earth materials company that owns and operates the Mountain Pass mine in California (the only active rare-earth mining and processing site in the United States).

Rare earth elements are critical for making high-strength permanent magnets used in electric vehicle motors, wind turbines, robotics, electronics, and defense systems.

In other words, nearly every piece of 21st-century technology is powered by rare earth minerals.

Why MP Surged 250% in 6 Weeks

  1. Strategic importance
    • The U.S. Department of Defense invested $400 million in MP, becoming its largest shareholder and forging a multi‑year purchase agreement with pricing protections (securing a much-needed domestic supply chain).
    • Apple just committed $500 million to procure rare-earth magnets from MP for use in devices and recycling efforts.
Headline courtesy of CNBC


2. Recent stock surge

  • Shares have jumped more than 250% year‑to‑date, hitting an all-time high of $62.87.

3. Reduces dependence on China

  • China currently dominates the processing of rare-earth elements. MP will help shift U.S. reliance toward domestic production.

How I Found This Setup

I’ve been watching MP’s huge run since early June, but couldn’t find an entry…

MP chart: Year-to-date, daily candles — courtesy of TC2000

Until yesterday…

After topping out at $62.87, MP pulled back right into VWAP support near the 21-day exponential moving average (EMA):

MP chart: 1 week, 5-minute candles — courtesy of TC2000

This is exactly the type of moment I wait for: a strong name with a healthy pullback into a key support level. 

Here’s where it gets super intriguing…

The Predictive Price Fusion scanner flagged almost no open interest on the $65 calls. 

That tells us most traders haven’t discovered this setup … yet.

No crowd means no premium distortion, no inflated IV, no front-running. 

We’re early to this setup. But in the options market, being early never lasts long. 

Once the rest of the market catches on, demand and IV will drive these premiums up. 

But if you plan ahead — like we are right now — you can position your trade ahead of the masses. 

Tight entry, clear risk, with upside tied to a high-probability level:

  • MP July 25 $65 calls.
  • Entry around VWAP ($58.80–$59.60).
  • Stop below $58.10 (about 70 cents away from entry).
  • Stakes are clear: You risk 12–15 cents for a potential 20% gain (or high-of-day bounce).

How to Execute the Trade

Let’s say you get filled at $1.80.

Stop Loss: $1.60 = 20 cents risk.

Price Target: 20% up to about $2.16.

Then, you can use Thinkorswim Active Trader to execute One-Cancels-the-Other (OCO) orders:

  • One leg for stop-loss.
  • Another for your profit target.
  • One cancels the other automatically.
  • Watch MP around VWAP today.
  • If it dips into our zone, scale in small near $1.80.
  • Set a stop at $1.60, target $2.16 (or adjust to high of day).
  • Keep size small, risk controlled.
  • If it fails, your loss is small and manageable. If it works, you can ride the momentum right to $2.16. 

This setup is as “rare” as they come. 

We’re still early, but that won’t last long.

Happy trading,

Ben Sturgill

P.S. We have a new trading challenge…

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*Past performance does not indicate future results

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